Geopolitical Crisis

Ahmadinejad has already accused CIA and BBC of being behind the killing of Neda Soltani, claiming also that other democratic nations - namely UK, Germany and Italy - have "meddled" with Iran.

USA and Israel are, according to Iranian state TV, responsible for claims that the election was rigged.

Right wing members of the Iranian Parliament are seeking to have Mousavi brought up on charges for collaboration with Western powers and "waging war against Allah".

Heightened security in the West

Today Ahmadinejad threatened retribution against democratic nations he accuse of instigating riots and false reports of voter fraud.

The threat is automatically taken as an indication of will to use the extensive Hezbollah network worldwide under Iranian control to commit acts of terrorism, and an alert has gone out in the secret intelligence communities.

USA and Iran have not had diplomatic relations since the Iran Hostage Crisis in 1979-81.

The diplomatic relations between Iran and European countries are under severe strain after Ahmadinejad's accusations and the arrest of 8 UK Embassy staff employees of which half have been released to date.

The staff members are accused of collaborating with protesters, and Tehran claims to have evidence they "mingled with protesters".

Holding all of Iran hostage

As the Ahmadinejad wing loses its grip on Iran, unable to curb or control public protests and raising international tensions to alarming levels in order to divert attention from the domestic unrest, it is fair to say the prospect of an armed confrontation between Iran and the West are growing by the minute.

It may yet come to naught, or it may only evolve slowly over the years to come.

But in case of open conflict the Iranian regime now holds all Iranian citizens hostage, effectively using them as bomb shields against foreign invasion in case terrorists decide to retaliate on US, European ground on behalf of the Iranian regime.

There is already reason to suspect the fire bombings of Iranian embassies in Sweden and Switzerland may be socalled "false flag" operations by Iranian agents trying to set up Iranian expats, who naturally supports protesters in Iran.

Iran a risk to Iraq

Western media are cautious to make the connection, but recent media reports indicate Iraq is terrified by the prospect of US soldiers leaving as the country has its own insurrection to control, while at the same time the powerful neighbour Iran is in a very volatile condition.

Iraqi politicians have been tight lipped with regards to the reelection of Iranian hardliner Mahmoud Ahmadinejad for fear of provoking Grand Ayatollah Khamenei's wrath and getting Iraq entangled in the conflict.

Iran has, over the past yeas, frequently been accused of working to destabilize Iraq as an extention of geopolitical and religious interests in the Middle East.

Saudi Arabia and Iran are in a contest for the hearts and minds of the Muslim population in MENA, and Iran's current turmoil is largely seen as a favor to Saudi Arabian and Sunni interests, while a system change in Iran could mean the waning of not just Hamas and Hezbollah, but Shia influence in the region.

Iran election now geopolitical crisis

In two weeks the contested Iranian election has turned into a de facto international crisis.

Continuing clamp-downs in Iran, the escalation of anti-Western rhetoric and the internationalization of what was originally an internal Iranian political dispute now threatens to grow into a geopolitical problem of proportions.

The conflict started out with allegations of voter fraud, lack of government transparency and violations of human rights, but the current Iranian regime has displayed such horrifying brutality and divulged intentions and attitudes so threatening to the rest of the world that G8 are to discuss sanctions and EU considers pulling back all diplomats.

What we are witnessing is an increasingly isolated Iranian government attempting complete media black-out, violently persecuting its opposition with the use of paramilitary forces known as Basij, and intent on preserving a fundamentalist rule at all costs.

Iran election now geopolitical crisis

Iran, for years considered a geopolitical threat by the US and European right wing, as well as by Israelis and Jewish citizens all over the world - appalled by Ahmadinejad's threats against Israel and his Holocaust denial - is now universally condemned for its brutal clamp-down of peaceful protests in Iran.

Paradoxically, the only thing protecting the Iranian regime now is the widespread support for Sea of Green or the Green Revolution, the opposition protesters still struggling to have their voice heard, their vote acknowledged, their rights secured and their interests taken into account by the increasingly oppressive Ahmadinejad government.

In the background stands the powerful Rafsanjani, reported to be in support of a more moderate Mousavi led government or government coalition, stacking dissenting voices among MPs as well as leading clerics in the Assembly of Experts he is heading. The Assembly of Experts has the mandate to remove Khamenei, if they deem he is unfit for his position as Supreme Leader.

Both Mousavi and Rafsanjani are exposed to subtle attacks and open threats. Mousavi has been accused of working with foreign powers to destabilize Iran, and Rafsanjani's children are ferocious system critics who have been arrested during the recent protests as well as in the past.

June 30 2009